IMF
ПроФОНдация
То, что пребывание в украинской столице очередной миссии Международного валютного фонда вряд ли окажется достаточно беззаботным и приятным времяпровождением, было понятно еще до приезда миссионеров. Принятый украинскими властями бюджет на нынешний год даже по формальным критериям не соответствует одному из ключевых обязательств, взятых ими осенью прошлого года, — бездефицитности. Но это обстоятельство, как и потенциальная угроза «развода» с МВФ, не смутили наше доблестное правительство. Выступая 5 февраля в парламенте, премьер-министр Юлия Тимошенко заявила, что считает разумными и выполнимыми как ключевые параметры бюджета, так и заложенные в нем макропрогнозы.
Yevhen Pentsak's advice: “It’s leveling out but that is very different from returning to …” upward movement
The headlines of the week: leading economists’ cautious forecast of near end of crisis, world banking sector so far in need of help, Ukrainian stocks in expressly gaining market
Yevhen Pentsak's advice: Ukraine – A Handless Suitcase for the West
Headlines of the week: world stocks keep growing optimistic, emerging economies appear to be reaching fantastic ups, Ukraine’s stock market is seemingly gaining momentum, record-hitting plunge of $ vs Euro, pre-election struggle affects domestic expectations.
Yevhen Pentsak's advice: take what you get and get what you can
Headlines of the week: world stock markets keep stagnating, Ukraine’s stocks on decline as well, raw materials and gold are going down in price. Public suspicion towards the politicum in Ukrainian - that’s what is on the rise.
Yevhen Pentsak’s advice: Ukraine's economic scenario - hoping to live to see the election day?
Information background of the week: Ukraine's rating downgraded one more level, counter-crisis reforms exhibited lowest efficiency ever, commercial banks are back in the position to let deposits be withdrawn ahead of maturity date, recapitalization of banking system's postponed for uncertain period, western markets are stagnating, Ukraine's eurobonds continue steady rise, National Bank is getting hryvnya into a tough game.
Yevhen Pentsak’s advice: everybody has to make an anti-crisis vaccination – listen to government reports more
Information background of the week: the IMF approved a second tranche of the loan for Ukraine, commercial banks with the interim administration are staying in suspense, Ukrainian stock market is growing with an unprecedented pace, eurobonds of Ukrainian issuers are continuing to grow,hryvnya finally stabilized.
Yevhen Pentsak's advice: "2 in 1" - anticrisis and pre-election packages twofer
Information background of the week: global stock indices are rising, there is optimistic prognosis about emerging markets, everybody is waiting for 13 May, when the IMF will announce a decision on the second tranche of the loan for Ukraine, commercial banks with the interim administration are staying in suspense, PUMB has announced a technical default on its bonds.
Yevhen Pentsak’s advice: recapitalize - not recapitalize, "but do something"
Information background of the week: Ukrainian bank recapitalization is delayed until June, the IMF is «swallowed» the Ukrainian Government Memorandum with a pleasure, new entrants for the presidential elections are appeared, the United States do not expect a second wave of banking crisis, the Ukrainian stock market goes up again after the "small" correction on Tuesday.
Yevhen Pentsak's advice: analysts recommend to look at green colours during the crisis period
Information background of the week: Ukrainian bank recapitalization is delayed, the presidential elections are approaching, everybody is preparing for Easter holidays, do not be afraid to say to the financial crisis «No!» - nobody will suffer: neither you nor the crisis, the president of Ukraine calls to address to the society for support of stability.
Yevhen Pentsak's advice: Ukrainian sandwich: crisis behind – elections in the middle – crisis ahead
Information background of the week: the recapitalization of Ukrainian banks, chances for IMF second tranche, the introduction of Ukrainian visas for Europeans, the growth of Ukrainian stock market indices, activity on the Ukrainian real estate market.
