Investment advices
Actual investment advices at the Ukraine investment market from financial analysts.
Middle-week thoughts
Found in the section analytic materials of Yevhen Pentsak about actual situation on Ukrainian market
Middle-week thoughts: hunger treatment or investment amnesia
The fourth phase of the survey: «The impact of socio-demographic characteristics of the investor on his attitude to financial risk» had completed in Kyiv Mohyla Business School (KMBS).
Yevhen Pentsak's advice: "2 in 1" - anticrisis and pre-election packages twofer
Information background of the week: global stock indices are rising, there is optimistic prognosis about emerging markets, everybody is waiting for 13 May, when the IMF will announce a decision on the second tranche of the loan for Ukraine, commercial banks with the interim administration are staying in suspense, PUMB has announced a technical default on its bonds.
Middle-week thoughts: solidity of "workers" or solidarity with "workers"?
At the time of big changes that occur in the global economy, many people wonder where to move on, what to do, which new business projects to start, etc.? Where to go, which economic sectors will generate profit, where the core values of customers will be focused, how to provide for their future developments, what the key competencies are required for a company - it is an incomplete list of issues, which must be answered by a top manager of every modern company.
Yevhen Pentsak's advice: crisis will teach and cure, but not everybody and not now
Russia, Ukraine and Kazakhstan are suffering from the "hangover" after the explosion of the credit bubble and the fall on raw materials; the fixation of the dollar rate will not stand long in Ukraine and the rate will be within 8-14 UAH throughout the year.
Yevhen Pentsak’s advice: recapitalize - not recapitalize, "but do something"
Information background of the week: Ukrainian bank recapitalization is delayed until June, the IMF is «swallowed» the Ukrainian Government Memorandum with a pleasure, new entrants for the presidential elections are appeared, the United States do not expect a second wave of banking crisis, the Ukrainian stock market goes up again after the "small" correction on Tuesday.
Middle-week thoughts: crisis development according to the default scenario or default of the default scenarios
Financial analysts forecast the development of emerging economies for the next two years. The main claimants to the sovereign default remain the same, only the order in rank of the most unreliable is changing. Ukraine is not included in the last rating at all.
Yevhen Pentsak's advice: analysts recommend to look at green colours during the crisis period
Information background of the week: Ukrainian bank recapitalization is delayed, the presidential elections are approaching, everybody is preparing for Easter holidays, do not be afraid to say to the financial crisis «No!» - nobody will suffer: neither you nor the crisis, the president of Ukraine calls to address to the society for support of stability.
Middle-week thoughts: World Bank believes in Ukraine, but conditionally
Everybody is waiting for the decision concerning the IMF second tranche of the loan; the government and the National Bank are ready for IMF mission arrival. The optimism of the government not only exceeds the limit but excites the imagination. However, there are several «queers» in the World Bank, whose forecasts do not coincide with the government’s forecasts...
Yevhen Pentsak's advice: Ukrainian sandwich: crisis behind – elections in the middle – crisis ahead
Information background of the week: the recapitalization of Ukrainian banks, chances for IMF second tranche, the introduction of Ukrainian visas for Europeans, the growth of Ukrainian stock market indices, activity on the Ukrainian real estate market.
Yevhen Pentsak's advice: the fear and anger of investors influence the duration of crisis
The informational background of the week: FRS of the USA has doubled the plan of the repayment of hypothecary debt instruments, falling of the USA government stocks yield and the growth of the Ukrainian emitters’ eurobonds yield, numerous memorandums on cooperation between Ukraine and Japan are signed, the second tranche of IMF has started again to "shine", the informational noise around reconstruction of Ukraine’s GTS, a reduction of a public contract with higher education, "optimisation" of diplomatic representatives of Ukraine abroad.
